Get Ready For The Bronx Bombers This Week
Reds vs Yankees MLB Odds: Plenty Of Runs Expected
The New York Yankees will begin a three-game home series against the Cincinnati Reds. The Yankees have gone 3-7 in their last ten games and lost the lead in the AL East. They’re trailing the Orioles by .03 percentage points after a poor finish to June. Still, the Reds vs Yankees MLB odds peg them as moderate favorites against Cincinnati.
On the other hand, the Reds haven’t been much better. Cincinnati has gone 4-6 in their last ten games and is 39-45 overall. At this time, the Reds are also 11 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers for the NL Central Division and are currently on the outside looking in when it comes to the playoffs.
The Reds will likely be underdogs in all three games of this series. They’re already underdogs in the opener. New York is a -200 favorite, with the total currently at 8.5. That said, the Under is juiced to -122.
Reds vs Yankees 
📊Records: Cincinnati Reds (39-45), New York Yankees (54-32)
📍Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
⏰Day/Time: 📺Streaming: YES, Bally Sports Ohio
Cincinnati Recorded Two Hits On Sunday
In Cincinnati’s latest loss, the Reds managed just two hits in a 2-0 loss. The Reds got great pitching from Hunter Greene and the bullpen, but the offense couldn’t muster up even a run in the loss.
Both losses against the Cardinals in the split series were shutout losses. The Reds bats didn’t even give their team a chance.
Concerns For Juan Soto
The X-ray results on Juan Soto’s hand injury returned negative on Saturday, and he even played on Sunday. But it’s still concerning. Soto is dealing with inflammation after he slammed his right hand when sliding into home plate on Friday. We’ll see if the swelling bothers him as he plays consistently.
Reds vs Yankees MLB Odds For Game 1:
RL: Yankees -1.5 (+104)ML: Yankees -200, O/U: 8.5 +100/-122
⚾ Game 1 ⚾
Tuesday, 7:05 pm ET
Graham Ashcraft vs. Luis Gil
The Reds will start Graham Ashcraft for the first matchup of the series. He’s a righty with a 5.45 ERA this year. While Ashcraft has kept walks down to 2.3% over the last month, he’s only issued 11.6% of strikeouts and has allowed a .220 ISO and wOBA of .426. Ultimately, most of the damage is coming from left-handed hitters. Therefore, if Soto is healthy and available, he should find some success.
On the other hand, Luis Gil will take the mound. He’s a right-hander who has struggled over the last 30 days. Gil has allowed a .207 ISO and wOBA of .370 to his previous 104 batters. His strikeouts are still high against righties, but he’s done nothing else right lately. Remember that when thinking about the Yankees in your MLB picks and parlays.
Against right-handed pitchers, the Reds have hit a .160 ISO and wOBA of .305 with their projected lineup over the last month. Jonathan India, Elly De La Cruz, and Jeimer Candelario are hitting at a high rate. However, the other six batters haven’t done much damage against righties over the last month.
With three consistent hitters for the Reds, Gil should still cough up some runs. Therefore, we’ll back the Over 8.5 (+100) in this one. This will be one of the higher MLB scores today.
⚾ Game 2 ⚾
Wednesday, 7:05 pm ET
Andrew Abbott vs. Carlos Rodon
In Wednesday’s game, we’ll get a lefty-lefty matchup. Andrew Abbott will take the mound for the Reds. He’s allowed a .224 ISO and wOBA of .337 to his last 89 righties. He’s also walked nearly 15% of righties in the last month.
Abbott has induced only 21.8% of grounders against righties and has allowed 40% of fly balls to them over the last month.
Against the lefty Abbott, expect the Yankees to fill their lineup with right-handed bats, including Aaron Judge, Gleyber Torres, and Anthony Volpe.
Meanwhile, New York will pitch lefty Carlos Rodon. Rodon has high strikeouts and low walks, but he’s also allowed a .259 ISO and wOBA of .408 to his last 122 batters.
The Reds have a higher wOBA against lefties but have only hit a .108 ISO while hitting a .413 wOBA. Without power, it’s hard to stay consistent offensively. In addition, the Reds have only walked about 4% of the time against lefties over the last 30 days. It’s more likely the wOBA averages come down against lefties than up with those numbers.
With that said, Cincinnati still doesn’t strike out much against lefties. We’ll likely see another high-scoring game on Saturday. The MLB betting odds will reflect that.
⚾ Game 3 ⚾
Thursday, 1:05 pm ET
Frankie Montas vs. Marcus Stroman
Finally, Frankie Montas will pitch against his former team. He isn’t best known for his time in New York, but that’s where he was last. Montas has turned things around in the previous 30 days. He’s held teams to a .122 ISO and wOBA of .273 over the previous month. He’s also limited teams to 15.2% of fly balls and has earned 45.5% of ground balls in the last 30 days.
Beyond that, Montas has earned 24% of strikeouts against his last 104 batters. He’s been really good, and if he can keep his walks down, he’ll be excellent against the Yankees.
New York will counter with Marcus Stroman. Stroman has earned below 13% of strikeouts over the last 30 days, allowing a .182 ISO and wOBA of .349 to his last 118 batters. He’s struggled way more against righties, but he’s still earned nearly 49% of grounders and has limited line drives to 12.8%.
This is the game where the offenses finally get quiet. We’d take the Under once the Reds vs Yankees MLB odds come out for this game.
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