Mariners vs Marlins Series Prediction: Seattle Favored to Take Series
Marlins Looking to Move Out of NL Cellar
The Seattle Mariners (44-33) travel to Miami to face the Marlins (25-49) for a three-game series starting Friday.The Mariners vs Marlins series prediction shows George Kirby and Trevor Rogers as the starting pitchers for Friday’s game.
Seattle still holds an 8-game lead in the AL West, while the Marlins are in last place in the NL East. Miami moved within half a game of the Colorado Rockies for last place in the National League. Seattle dropped two of three games to the Cleveland Guardians, while the Marlins took two of three from St. Louis entering this series. Seattle is -157 and the total is 8-under (-120).
The Mariners are one of the worst teams in MLB when it comes to hitting for average. Seattle is No. 29 with a .220 team batting average. Only the White Sox are worse with a .219 average. The Mariners do have some power, however, and are No. 8 in MLB with 85 home runs. That helps Seattle score 3.9 runs per game, which is low, but enough for them to have a winning record.
Expert Pick: Subscribe below to get our Premium Insights!
Expert Pick: Subscribe below to get our Premium Insights!Seattle’s pitching staff is solid, ranking No. 7 in team ERA. The Mariners have gotten good production from the bullpen, which has 23 saves in 31 attempts. The relief pitchers have been better at home.
The Marlins are No. 20 in team batting average with a .234 mark, but don’t have much pop in their bats, ranking last in home runs. As a result, Miami is scoring 3.6 runs per game, which is No. 29 in the MLB rankings.
Miami’s pitching has been pretty bad, with the team ranking No. 27 in team ERA. The bullpen hasn’t been too effective with 10 saves and 14 blown saves. The relief pitchers have a 12-17 record to go with that.
âš¾Friday’s Gameâš¾
Kirby has been decent this season and especially strong over his last four starts. He has a 6-5 record with a 3.54 ERA and the Mariners are 8-7 when he starts. Seattle is just 2-6 when Kirby starts on the road and his ERA jumps to 4.70. Kirby has allowed four earned runs over 24 innings in his last four starts.
Rogers has been awful for the Marlins this season, going 1-8 with a 5.09 ERA. Even worse, Miami is just 1-13 when Rogers takes the mound this season and has lost five straight starts. Rogers has had a couple of horrible starts this season, along with a few decent ones, although it hasn’t made any difference. Miami has lost 9-7 with Rogers on the mound and 2-1 with him starting. Rogers has allowed two runs or less in three of his last four starts, but Miami has lost them all.
It’s hard to back Seattle here considering the difference in Kirby’s home and away performances this year. As a team, Seattle is 17-21 on the road, although that’s still better than Miami’s 14-26 home record. It’s nearly impossible to back Rogers, who either pitches bad or has bad luck. The MLB odds are about what you would expect here and the under might be the best play in this game.
âš¾Saturday’s Gameâš¾
The Mariners vs Marlins series prediction shows Logan Gilbert and Jesus Luzardo the expected starters for Saturday’s game. Gilbert is 4-4 with a 2.93 ERA and the Mariners are 8-7 when he starts and 4-4 when Gilbert starts on the road. His road ERA of 3.18 is slightly higher than his overall ERA, but Gilbert has been pretty consistent home or away this season.
Luzardo is 3-6 with a 4.99 ERA and the Marlins have gone 4-8 when he starts. Miami is 2-5 when Luzardo starts at home. Luzardo’s numbers aren’t that impressive, but he’s really had just three poor starts all season. He’s allowed three earned runs or less in nine of his 12 starts, but has been hurt by a lack of offense and the lack of a bullpen.
Seattle will likely be small favorites in this game and Luzardo does have a little promise as a home underdog. The Miami Marlins standings make it tough to take the home team, but they could be a decent play if the price is high enough.
âš¾Sunday’s Gameâš¾
The Mariners vs Marlins series prediction is showing Bryce Miller and Braxton Garrett as the scheduled starters for Sunday’s finale. Miller is 6-5 with a 3.46 ERA and Seattle is 9-6 when he starts. Miller has been a much better pitcher at home this season, where his ERA is 1.82 compared to 5.54 on the road. The Mariners are 3-4 when Miller starts on the road.
Garrett is 2-2 with a 5.35 ERA, although Miami is 4-3 when he starts. Garrett has some really ugly numbers at home, including an ERA of 8.35, although his last home start was solid. The Marlins are 2-2 when Garrett starts at home and all four games have gone over the total.
The over looks like it’s going to be the best wager in this game considering the home and away splits of the two starts. Seattle is 5-2 in totals when Miller starts on the road this season. That, along with Garrett’s 4-0, points to what should be a higher-scoring game than what is expected.
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