Marlins vs Phillies MLB Odds: Philadelphia Massive Favorites
Phillies Host Miami in Four-Game Series
The Miami Marlins (28-52) take to the road to visit the Philadelphia Phillies (55-27) for four games starting Thursday. The Marlins trail the Phillies by 25 games in the standings. Miami has played a little better lately, going 5-5 over its last 10 games. The Phillies have the best record in the National League and are 31-12 at home. The Marlins are expected to start Trevor Rogers on Thursday against Zack Wheeler. The Marlins vs Phillies MLB odds have Philadelphia -260 and the total on the game is 7.5. The Phillies are -120 on the run line at -1.5 runs.
The Marlins have one of the worst records in Major League Baseball and there’s enough blame to go around. The team isn’t scoring or pitching well. It’s little surprise the Marlins have played so poorly. Miami is averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is No. 29 in the league. Miami doesn’t have much power and is last in MLB with 63 home runs.
The pitching staff hasn’t been much better and is No. 27 in team ERA at 4.58. The bullpen has been a little better, especially on the road, but has just 12 saves in 26 attempts.
The Phillies don’t have any problems scoring and their 5.1 runs per game are tied for No. 2 in MLB. Philadelphia is No. 4 in home runs and also No. 4 in stolen bases. The Phillies’ offense can beat you in different ways.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have gotten the job done. The team is leading MLB with a 3.07 ERA and the relief pitchers have been pretty strong. They’re a little behind the starters, but not by much. The pitching staff is a big reason why the Phillies are tied for No. 2 to win the World Series in the MLB futures.
Marlins vs Phillies 
📊Records: Miami Marlins (28-52) / Philadelphia Phillies (55-27)
📍Location: Citizens Bank Park
⏰Day/Time:
Thursday’s Game
Rogers has some ugly starts for the season, although he’s been pitching better recently. For the season, Rogers is 1-8 with a 4.90 ERA and the Marlins are 2-13 when he takes the mound. Rogers does have a 2.45 ERA over his last three starts. It’s a bit of a guessing game if he’s on the right path or if he’s due for a regression.
Wheeler is 9-4 with a 2.73 ERA, although the Phillies have lost the three games he didn’t get a decision in. At home, Philadelphia is 6-3 when Wheeler starts and he has a 1.66 ERA. Despite his sparking ERA, Philadelphia is 4-5 in totals when Wheeler is on the mound at home. The Marlins are 1-5 on the road with Rogers on the hill.
The Phillies have hit left-handed pitchers a little bit better, although their numbers are pretty close. It’s almost impossible to take the Marlins in this one, so the Phillies on the run line gets the nod in this game.
Friday’s Game
Kyle Tyler is expected to make his second start for the Marlins. He pitched four innings in the team’s 6-4 win over Seattle on June 23, allowing two runs and three hits. There really isn’t much to judge him on. He had eight starts in the minor leagues this year and pitched well before getting the call.
The Phillies are expected to start Cristopher Sanchez here. He’s pitched well but hasn’t gotten a whole lot of support for the Philadelphia offense. Sanchez is 5-3 with a 2.56 ERA and the Phillies are just 8-7 when he starts. Sanchez has been even better at home, going 4-1 with a 1.41 ERA. Philadelphia is 6-2 when he starts at home.
The Marlins vs Phillies MLB odds will have Philadelphia as huge favorites in this contest, especially with Miami’s struggles against LHP. The under could be the way to go in this game.
Saturday’s Game
Roddery Munoz is expected to get the start for Miami against Aaron Nola and this one should be close to Phillies -300 on the scores and odds MLB. Nola is pitching like his old self, while Munoz is struggling a bit this season. Munoz has gone 1-3 with a 5.80 ERA and Miami is 2-5 when he starts, including 0-4 on the road.
Nola is 9-3 with a 3.48 ERA and Philadelphia is 13-3 when he takes the mound. His home ERA is a little bit higher at 3.72, but the Phillies are 7-2 when he starts at home. The Phillies are 6-0 when Nola is a favorite of -200 or greater, which is going to be the case here. Philadelphia should move to 7-0, although it’s another case of taking Philadelphia on the run line to make the odds a little more reasonable.
Sunday’s Game
Yonny Chirinos will get the start for the Marlins against Ranger Suarez. The Marlins vs Phillies MLB odds will see Philadelphia as a massive favorites in this one, as well. Chirinos hasn’t pitched badly for Miami, but he hasn’t pitched much. He’s pitched five innings in both of his starts and has allowed a total of three runs. The Marlins have won both of his starts.
Suarez is 10-2 with a 2.01 ERA and the Phillies have posted a 13-3 record when he starts. He’s pitched better at home, where the Phillies have gone 7-1 and Suarez has a 1.57 ERA. The Phillies are coming out and playing well against over-matched teams. Instead of biding their time until the MLB playoff schedule is released, the Phillies have gone 18-4 when favored -200 or greater. Philadelphia is 15-7 on the run line in those games, so they’re putting forth the effort.
The Marlins haven’t had many bright spots this year, but Chirinos is more of a pleasant surprise right now. He hasn’t pitched enough to be considered a bright spot, although he’s pitched well. The under is probably the way to go in this game.
Marlins vs Phillies Odds
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