Marlins vs Royals Score Predictions: KC Big Favorites

The Miami Marlins visit the Kansas City Royals for a three-game series starting Monday. Miami has managed to move one-half game in front of Colorado for the worst record in the National League. With the Rockies not playing Monday, Miami will be in a tie with the Rockies with a loss.

The odds suggest that’s going to happen. The Royals enter the series in dire need of a win after a 2-7 road trip that concluded with a sweep at the hands of Texas. Kansas City is out of a playoff spot for the first time since April 6.

The Marlins vs Royals score predictions show Roddery Munoz and Cole Ragans as the scheduled starters for Monday’s first game. The Royals are -240 and the total is 9.5 (Over -115).

Miami is No. 22 in team batting average and last in MLB in home runs. As a result, the Marlins are scoring just 3.5 runs per game. That’s better than the White Sox, but worse than the other 28 teams in MLB.

Miami’s pitching is just as bad, as the team ranks No. 27 in team ERA. The MLB news and rumors show the Marlins staff will be without Braxton Garrett for 15 days and Jesus Luzardo was transferred to the 60-day injured list Sunday. Miami can’t afford to lose pitchers. The Marlins’ bullpen has been slightly better than the starters.

Kansas City is No. 16 in team batting average and No. 19 in home runs, so no real strength or weakness. The Royals score 4.6 runs per game and 5.4 when at home.

The pitching staff has been decent at No. 13 in team ERA. The relief pitchers have had some troubles this year. The bullpen is slightly below average and is 19 for 30 in save attempts.

⚾Monday’s Game⚾

Munoz has started six games for Miami and the Marlins are 2-4 when he pitches. He’s had three good starts and three bad ones. His season ERA is 5.76 and 4.59 when he pitches on the road. The Marlins have dropped all three of his road starts.

Ragans is pitching well but has gotten little help from his bullpen recently. Despite a 2.84 ERA over his last three starts, the Royals dropped all three games. Kansas City is 7-9 when Ragans starts, but 6-3 when he starts at home.

• The MLB public betting is on Kansas City, as would be expected. The Royals opened -230 and the line climbed to -240 fairly quickly. The Marlins score a little less on the road, but a little more against left-handed starters, making this one a wash. If you must play it, the over 9.5 might be worth a look.

⚾Tuesday’s Game⚾

Seth Lugo and the Royals will be huge favorites over Yonny Chirinos and the Marlins. Chirinos was called up by the Marlins to start last week. He didn’t do too badly as he allowed two runs in five innings against St. Louis. But he did allow eight hits, so he wasn’t baffling hitters even if got the outs he needed.

Lugo has been brilliant all season for the Royals. Kansas City is 11-5 when he starts and has a 2.51 ERA. The Royals are just 3-4 with Lugo on the mound at home and his ERA is a bit higher at 3.32. The Royals are 6-2 when Lugo is a favorite.

• The Marlins vs Royals score predictions have KC winning by 2.0 runs. The big question is how high of odds you’re willing to lay and be comfortable with it. Kansas City should win the game, but it’s never easy laying -270 regardless of who the teams and pitchers are. Still, favorites of -240 and more this year are 55-14, so they’ve been profitable. It’s either take the Royals or nothing in this one.

⚾Wednesday’s Game⚾

With the injuries to Miami’s pitching staff, the Marlins haven’t named a starting pitcher for Wednesday’s finale. Miami could go to Trevor Rogers or look at somebody else. With the Royals scheduled to start Brady Singer, it shouldn’t make much difference.

The Marlins vs Royals score predictions have Kansas City by 2.5 runs in this game regardless of who Miami’s pitcher is. This is the type of series the Royals need to sweep. The MLB playoff odds still like Kansas City to sneak into the postseason, but they must win these games.

Kansas City is 9-6 when Singer takes the mound this season and is 6-2 when he starts at home and 6-1 when he goes off as a favorite. The price will be high, but you have to take the Royals in this one.

For MLB picks, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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