NASCAR Cup Series 2024 Ally 400 Odds Faves, Steals
Can Kyle Larson Win as the Favorite in Nashville?
Christopher Bell earned victory No. 3 of the season with a decisive win in New Hampshire. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver won Stage 1 and led 148 laps. This week, the Cup Series grid swaps a familiar track for one of the newer oval events on the calendar.
The Nashville Superspeedway is making just its fourth appearance on the Cup Series schedule this weekend and the 2024 Ally 400 Odds have a past winner as the favorite.
2024 Ally 400 Odds: Favorites
Kyle Larson (+425)
Larson is back on top in the Cup Series standings after finishing fourth in New Hampshire. He’s even on points with teammate Chase Elliott but holds the edge with three wins this season.
That fourth place was a good bounce back from his rough race in Iowa.
Larson won the first edition of this race back in 2021 from fifth on the grid.
He’s finished in the top five in the races since with fourth in 2022 and fifth in 2023. Given how he looked in New Hampshire and most of Iowa, Larson should be in the mix at the front once again.
Kyle Larson was born https://t.co/KZsT2oGNKI pic.twitter.com/eYbYpVKZwS
— N4SCMads (@N4SCMads_Edits) June 24, 2024
Denny Hamlin (+525)
Hamlin’s rough patch continued in New Hampshire with a Stage 2 win but was classified 24th by the checkered flag. This makes for his worst stretch of NASCAR race results so far this season with 38th in Sonoma, 24th in Iowa, and 24th in New Hampshire.
His luck could change this weekend. Hamlin had a bad result in 2021 (21st) but has improved every year. In 2022, he qualified on pole position and finished sixth, and last year he went from eighth on the starting grid to third. That bodes pretty well for him to break this rough patch of results.
Christopher Bell (+650)
Bell was the runaway favorite last weekend and finds himself in the top group of the NASCAR odds again this week. His win in New Hampshire continued his streak of five consecutive top-10 finishes, a feat no one on the grid can match.
Historically, Bell hasn’t qualified well here. But he’s consistently put it together on race day. In 2021, he went from 25th on the grid to ninth by the finish. In 2022, he went from ninth to eighth and he went from 22nd to seventh last year.
That momentum and track record make him a good pick for the top five at the very least.
“Whenever Chase comes into the car.”
Christopher Bell had the honor of announcing the FULL name of Joe Gibbs Racing’s new driver: Chase Briscoe. #NASCAR pic.twitter.com/NNrsY8RuoF
— NASCAR on NBC (@NASCARonNBC) June 25, 2024
Ross Chastain (+850)
Chastain finished 10th in New Hampshire to remain in the top 10 of the Cup Series standings. It was his third top-10 finish in the last five races and marks six races in a row in the top 15.
This weekend sees some of his shortest odds of the year because Nashville is one of four events on the NASCAR race schedule he’s won before.
Chastain took the top spot last year from pole position and led 99 of the 300 laps. Before that win, he finished second in 2021 and fifth in 2022. No one can match his track record at this oval.
Chase Elliott (+900)
Elliott started from pole position in New Hampshire and led 41 laps but a crash on the Lap 194 restart dropped him to 18th by the finish.
That result ended his streak of top-15 finishes at 11 races and ceded the lead in the championship to Larson on tiebreakers.
Nashville’s been a solid oval for Elliott. In 2021, he finished 13th before he was disqualified for unsecured tires. He won in 2022 and finished fourth last year.
That more recent form is promising, as is his consistency this season. He should be in with a chance at his second victory of the season this weekend.
On this day in NASCAR history – Chase Elliott won the 2022 Ally 400 at Nashville pic.twitter.com/sJirk3toFR
— Skewcar (@Skewcar) June 26, 2024
Sleepers
William Byron (+1000)
These odds don’t give him a huge payout but he does offer a good option as a sleeper. He is very inconsistent lately with 26th in New Hampshire, second in Iowa, 30th in Sonoma, and 15th in Gateway. This makes Byron a potentially promising option this weekend.
Byron struggled in 2022 here and was classified 35th. Outside of that, though, he’s been a solid performer in Nashville. He finished third in 2021 and sixth in 2023.
Before this rough stretch starting in Dover, Byron was one of the best drivers in the field. He could regain that momentum with a strong result here.
Tyler Reddick (+1100)
Reddick got back on track in New Hampshire after finishing 22nd in Iowa. That’s his fourth top-10 finish in the last five races. He’s fifth in the Cup Series standings with a pretty strong season.
His track record in Nashville isn’t great but he did improve last year.
He qualified second and led 33 laps before he spun out on pit road and lost a wheel, causing a caution and dropping him to 30th. A bit better luck this year could see a better result.
Restart on lap 160 during the 2024 NASCAR Cup race @ New Hampshire, Tyler Reddick’s onboard pic.twitter.com/mIX4HFIgE3
— Andrew (@Basso488) June 25, 2024
Joey Logano (+2000)
Nashville is a unique oval and as a newer event, it’s tough to rely on anything other than recent form and track record. Logano’s qualifying pace in Nashville is strong with fourth last year and third in 2021.
That hasn’t translated to race day, though, with an average finish of 12th. He’ll look for a better result after his late crash with Elliott in New Hampshire.
2024 Ally 400 Odds: Predictions
Nashville is both a newer event and a unique oval on the calendar. That makes it hard to predict how things will turn out come Sunday.
Of the favorites, we like Chastain (+850) and we like Reddick (+1100) from the sleepers.
Our top five picks are:
- Chastain (+110)
- Reddick (+130)
- Larson (-155)
- Elliott (+110)
- Bell (-110)
For NASCAR betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
