Sun Take WNBA-Best Start into Rematch with Sky
Sun vs Sky Betting Odds Favor Connecticut (-7.5)
Looking to build on their WNBA-best start, the Connecticut Sun visit the Chicago Sky Wednesday (8 p.m. ET) at Wintrust Arena.
- Connecticut is a 7.5-point favorite and -325 on the moneyline, with Chicago +260 to win outright. Meanwhile, the projected total is 153.
Can Connecticut take care of business? Read on as we break down both teams and assess the Sun vs Sky betting lines in our WNBA game preview.
🏀 Sun vs Sky 🏀
Day/Time:
Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago
Sun vs Sky Betting Trends
The Connecticut Sun are 5-6 against the spread, including 1-2 away from home. They have performed slightly better for Over/Under bettors, going 6-5.
The Chicago Sky, meanwhile, are 5-5 ATS, including 2-4 over their last six games. As for the Over/Under, the Sky are 4-6.
That’s important to remember when assessing the Sun vs Sky betting lines.
Climbing the Ranks
Connecticut’s unbeaten start may be over, but the Sun have clearly established themselves as WNBA championship contenders.
The Sun are 10-1, with their lone loss coming last Saturday to New York, 82-75. They responded to that two days later with an 89-72 rout of Indiana, already their third victory over the Fever this season.
Four of the Sun’s last five wins have come by double digits, as they continue to generate momentum in the WNBA standings from their franchise-record start. In all, they’ve outscored opponents by an average of 9.8 points, the third-biggest margin behind Minnesota (plus-10.7) and New York (plus-9.9) through WNBA games today.
The Sun — who have reached the WNBA semifinals each of the last five seasons — are still a distant third behind the two-time defending champion Aces (+110) and Liberty (+175), though the gap is narrowing.
Since the start of the season, their title odds have increased from +1000 to +700.
- Only two other teams have better than 20/1 odds: Lynx (+1600) and Storm (+1700).
Projected for 24.5 wins, the Sun will likely go as far as the veteran trio of Alyssa Thomas, DeWanna Bonner and Brionna Jones takes them.
They have combined for 54.5% of the team’s scoring, and that’s with Jones, a two-time All-Star, on a minutes restriction after tearing her Achilles last June. The 35 minutes she played in Sunday’s loss to New York was her biggest workload in over a year.
The Sun have been the league’s best defensive team, limiting opponents to an average of 70.7 points. They’ve already held three teams to under 60 points.
Youth Movement in Chi-Town
Things may get worse before they get better for Chicago. The Sky have lost three of their last four games, falling to 4-6 following Saturday’s 89-80 defeat to Atlanta.
The Sky, 1.5-point underdogs, allowed a season-high in points and failed to cover for already the third time this month.
The results are obviously not optimal, but such struggles aren’t surprising, given the youth on the roster. On the heels of a sub-.500 finish, the Sky loaded up on draft night by selecting Kamilla Cardoso and Angel Reese with the No. 3 and No. 7 picks, respectively.
Cardoso is averaging 6.8 points and 5.3 rebounds after missing the first six games with a shoulder injury, while Reese (11.6 PPG, 9.6 RPG) has three straight double-doubles but is shooting just 34.6%.
The Sky (projected for 12.5 wins) have made five straight WNBA playoff appearances, including winning the 2021 WNBA title. But that streak may be in danger, barring a turnaround. They are +145 to qualify for the postseason, down a smidge from +115 last week.
- As for the WNBA title, Chicago shares the third-longest odds at +12000. Only Los Angeles (+18000) and Washington (+30000) are bigger underdogs.
Handicapping the Game
Chicago played Connecticut tight last month, falling 86-82 at Wintrust Arena. Tempers flared that night, as Thomas was ejected in the second half after a hard foul on Reese.
Will more bad blood spill into the rematch?
- Connecticut is 4-2 ATS since then, including 4-1 as a favorite. Chicago, on the other hand, is just 2-4.
Both teams are relatively healthy, though Elizabeth Williams (knee) remains out indefinitely for Chicago. Diamond DeShields (ankle) is probable to play, as is Connecticut’s Moriah Jefferson (ankle).
The Sun’s defense could be the separating factor, as Chicago has struggled with its offensive efficiency. Only Phoenix (40.3%) and Atlanta (40.2%) have shot worse from the floor on a game-to-game basis than the Sky (41.1%).
Keep that in mind when analyzing the Sky vs Sun betting odds.
For WNBA betting news, odds, analysis and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
