2024 AFC South Division Odds: Houston Back on Top
Texans Favored After Strong Offseason
The oddsmakers have listed the Houston Texans as the team to beat in the NFL AFC South. The 2024 AFC South division odds have Houston as a solid favorite over Jacksonville, Indianapolis, and Tennessee.
There are plenty of reasons to like Houston, although it may be premature to count out Jacksonville. A healthy Anthony Richardson will make the Colts an exciting team to watch. Tennessee is trying to rebuild on the fly while remaining competitive.
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Expert Pick: Subscribe below to get our Premium Insights!2024 AFC South Division Odds
Houston Texans +105
The Houston Texans took advantage of Jacksonville’s troubles down the stretch and snuck in there to win the division. While the Jaguars collapsed at the end, you have to give Houston credit for putting itself in place to take advantage.
People are expecting the Texans’ young players to continue to improve. That’s certainly not out of the question. CJ Stroud has had a memorable rookie season and should get better with a year under his belt. He missed a couple of games with an injury, but still threw for 4,108 yards and 23 TDs.
The Texans were active in the offseason, adding Danielle Hunter, Joe Mixon, and Stefon Diggs, so you can’t say they’re not trying to improve the team. How everyone mixes remains to be seen. But on the surface, they seem like decent moves.
You can’t fault anybody who likes Houston here, as they’ll be one of the trendy NFL picks this season, but the odds are a bit low for the taking.
Jacksonville Jaguars +275
The Jaguars finished 1-5 down the stretch, costing them a spot in the postseason. Jacksonville lost twice as a favorite of more than a touchdown, so it has nobody to blame but itself. Trevor Lawrence battled through the season when he probably should have been on the sidelines.
The Jags brought in center Mitch Morse, which was a solid move, and added Arik Armstead on the defensive front. Both players should help immediately.
Jacksonville needs better production from the running game. The Jags were 2-7 when rushing for less than 100 yards and 7-1 when rushing for more than 100 yards. They were also 7-1 against the NFL betting lines when gaining more than 100 yards on the ground.
First-round pick Brian Thomas gives the team a big-play threat, which could open the ground game a bit. It’s one piece the Jaguars have been missing the past few seasons. At +275, the Jaguars are worth a wager at solid odds.
Indianapolis Colts +310
The 2024 AFC South division odds on the Colts look to be a bit on the low side. If Richardson can come back strong that will help, but it’s hard to say he would have been any more productive passing than Gardner Minshew last season. Indianapolis had a decent draft, although probably not quite good enough to be at +310 on the odds chart.
The Colts will do some things differently with Richardson, taking advantage of his explosiveness running the ball. Indianapolis may not call too many designed running plays after Richardson missed much of last year.
Joe Flacco is the backup and he had a solid season last year, but he’s there as more of a mentor than a potential starter. Indianapolis could be a bit better than last year, although you could say that for any of the top three teams.
Tennessee Titans +1000
It was only a matter of time before the Titans broke up the old guard, with Derrick Henry and Ryan Tannehill moving on. The 2024 AFC South Division odds of just +1000 on Tennessee lets you know the Titans aren’t going full rebuild.
They’re just trying to phase in some younger players and remain competitive. That could be easier said than done. The Titans had a decent draft, addressing a glaring need with tackle JC Latham. T’Vondre Sweat is a boom-or-bust prospect on the defensive line.
The Titans were the only team in the AFC to be below .500 against the spread last season, so you may not want to be using them in your NFL picks and parlays in the early going. Will Levis had a fair rookie season. He didn’t throw many touchdowns but didn’t make a lot of rookie mistakes, either.
The Titans are going to have to get more production of its passing game. New coach Brian Callahan is offensive-minded, so maybe he can help the offense get untracked. Tennessee was No. 27 in points per game, which doesn’t get the job done.
For 2024 NFL rushing leader odds, betting analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
