2024 NFL DPOY Odds: Parsons Slight Favorite
Pass Rushers Have Advantage in Defensive Player of the Year Voting
The NFL’s Defensive Player of the Year Award has become a bit of a popularity contest. Perhaps not quite to the extent of the NBA’s award, but the award doesn’t always go to the best defensive player.
People will debate last year’s award for years to come, but Myles Garrett did enough to win. There are those who thought TJ Watt did enough to win, but they don’t have votes.
It’s not surprising the two are once again among the favorites for this year’s Defensive Player of the Year Award.
While the award is for overall defensive player, the top four vote getters last year each had 14 or more sacks. That’s what voters like to see. The 2024 NFL DPOY odds have pass rushers near the top of the odds.
Micah Parsons +600
Parsons finished second in 2022 and was third in the voting last year. Some people believe one reason Garrett won last year is he was snubbed before. That could help Parsons this year.
Playing for the Dallas Cowboys doesn’t hurt. The NFL betting odds have Dallas at No. 8 in the Super Bowl odds, so the Cowboys should be good. Parsons has had 27.5 sacks the past two years, so he can get to the quarterback.
Myles Garrett +700
The 2024 NFL DPOY odds have Garrett +700 to repeat, and that could be a bit low. The voters received a bit of flak from giving Garrett the award last season, and they might be inclined to look at traditional stats a little more this season.
For his part, Garrett received the most double-teams of any defensive lineman in the league. One reason for his low tackle numbers is simply NFL teams running the other way.
TJ Watt +700
Watt finished second last season despite having much better numbers than Garrett, but he also plays linebacker. He should have more tackles than a defensive end, although plenty of people were quick to point out he had five more sacks and 26 more tackles. If he’s close, the voters may side with him this season.
Maxx Crosby +700
Crosby finished fourth for the Raiders last season after having 90 tackles and 14.5 sacks. Playing for Las Vegas doesn’t really help, although the Raiders weren’t all that bad last season. The team needs a few more of the NFL scores to go their way for Crosby to have a solid chance.
Nick Bosa +800
The 2024 NFL DPOY odds have the 2022 winner at +800, which isn’t all that bad. Bosa’s numbers were down last season, especially his sack total, which dropped from 18.5 to 10.5. His tackles were the basically the same. The San Francisco defense should be tough once again, so he has the possibility to bounce back with a big year.
Aidan Hutchinson +1400
The odds on Hutchinson might be a little optimistic, although the NFL schedule has Detroit getting plenty of exposure this season. Hutchinson is coming off a pretty good season, and he could continue to get better.
He had 11.5 sacks last year and three forced fumbles. He could jump into the conversation if he can get the sack total up to 14 or 15.
Josh Allen (JAX) +2200
The other Josh Allen had a pretty strong NFL season for the Jaguars. He finished with 17.5 sacks and made the Pro Bowl, but didn’t receive any DPOY votes. His numbers were better than others who did get votes, but the Jags’ last season collapse didn’t help his case.
Will Anderson Jr. +2500
The 2024 NFL DPOY odds on Anderson are a bit on the low side. It’s natural to expect him to show some improvement in his second season, but probably asking too much to expect him to be in the battle for DPOY. He had just 7.0 sacks last season and would need to take a massive jump.
Chris Jones +2800
Jones is an interesting longshot. He placed third in 2022, but didn’t receive any votes last season after his numbers dropped a bit. He’s made the Pro Bowl five consecutive seasons. He did see a drop of five sacks and 14 tackles from his 2022 stats. If he can get the numbers back to their 2022 levels, he’ll jump right back into the mix.
Brian Burns, Montez Sweat, Fred Warner, Kyle Hamilton, Haason Reddick, Trey Hendrickson +4000
There’s a large collection of NFL players at +4000, although they’re longshots for a reason. Warner finished sixth in the voting last year and is a tackling machine, but doesn’t get the sacks.
Burns could get a few more sacks with the Giants after coming over from Carolina, but that’s asking quite a bit.
Sweat came to the Bears midseason and had a solid year, but probably isn’t quite up to challenging yet. Hamilton had a solid season for the Ravens, but it’s extremely tough for a safety to win.
Reddick comes to the Jets from the Eagles and should put up decent numbers again, while Hendrickson can put up big numbers, but needs the Bengals to win more games.
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