Can Josh Allen Still Put Up Elite Numbers In 2024?
The Overs Are Enticing When Looking At The Josh Allen Season Odds
The Buffalo Bills finished 11-6 last season and made the playoffs after finishing the regular season with five consecutive wins in the Buffalo Bills standings.
However, the Bills failed to make it into the Super Bowl after a deflating 27-24 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Divisional Round.
After another lost season, the Bills traded Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans for a future 2025 second-round draft pick. At that point, many comments were released from sports media personalities that the Bills were finally giving up on Josh Allen.
But that wasn’t the case at all. The Bills drafted Keon Coleman out of Florida State to play wide receiver next to Khalil Shakir. Buffalo also added Curtis Samuel, Marquez Valdez-Scantling, Chase Claypool, and Mack Hollins to help out the depth at wide receiver.
There’s ultimately no star talent unless Coleman becomes an elite No. 1. Shakir can be really good. Still, it’s also unclear if he’s ready to take on a bigger responsibility with the Bills.
With that said, let’s look at all of the Josh Allen Season Odds below.
Josh Allen’s Passing Yards
- 3700.5 (O/U -110/-110)
Josh Allen finished with 4,306 passing yards in 2023. He also added 29 touchdowns and had 18 interceptions but finished with a 69.6 QBR.
While losing Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis doesn’t sit well on paper, it’s not like either of those two did a whole lot last year, anyway.
Diggs finished with 107 receptions for 1,183 yards and eight touchdowns. He didn’t have a 100-yard receiving game in 13 consecutive games with Josh Allen, including two postseason matchups.
On the other hand, Gabe Davis only had 45 catches for 746 yards. While he averaged 16.6 yards per catch, Davis was just as inconsistent.
Last season, Allen proved he could be more of a pocket passer and not always a scrambler looking to run.
In addition, he has had four consecutive seasons with at least 4,283 yards passing. No matter who is at wide receiver this season, we like the Over for Allen here. If they had to, this team could put up some big NFL scores today behind Josh Allen.
Josh Allen’s Passing Touchdowns
- 27.5 Passing Touchdowns (O/U +110/-130)
While Allen has accumulated more than 4,250 yards passing in four straight seasons, he has also added at least 29 passing touchdowns in four consecutive seasons.
His rushing touchdowns increased, but he also ran for fewer yards in his previous two seasons.
Allen won’t have his favorite targets like Diggs and Davis. But he still has multiple tight ends that can produce touchdowns around the endzone, including Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox.
Those two tight ends combined for four touchdowns last year and are in a position to perform at an even higher level this season.
The Bills will head into the regular season with a group of receivers they’re comfortable with. Josh Allen is also one of the best quarterbacks in the game and will more than likely get the best out of the receivers he’s got. Just look at the Josh Allen season odds overall, season-by-season. We’d take the Over in this one, too.
Josh Allen To Win MVP
- NFL MVP Odds +850
If the Josh Allen season odds include 4,300 yards,30+ passing touchdowns, 15+ rushing touchdowns, and over 5,000 yards of total offense, Allen will be an MVP candidate this season.
On the odds board, Josh Allen is currently second behind Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes is +450, while Allen is currently +850, tied with C.J. Stroud. Allen is more likely to win the MVP over Joe Burrow, who is listed at +900.
Stroud and Burrow figure to have better wide receivers, yet Allen is more highly regarded of the bunch.
That said, oddsmakers also believe Allen will finish 10th in passing yards. Furthermore, oddsmakers have the Bills listed at +900 to be the highest-scoring team in the NFL. That’s third behind the San Francisco 49ers and Detroit Lions. The +900 odds are also ahead of the Miami Dolphins, Dallas Cowboys, Philadelphia Eagles, and Kansas City Chiefs.
Thus, oddsmakers still believe the Bills will be a potent offense, even without a top-tier wide receiver.
Therefore, we wouldn’t mind sprinkling a little money on Allen to win the MVP. The Buffalo roster being subpar in the wide receiver room will only help his case for the MVP if the Bills successfully throw the football throughout the season.
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