Fili By KO Headlines UFC 303 Props & Parlays
UFC 303 Props
There are some great fights on the UFC 303 card, and we have found four of the best props and parlays picks.
UFC 303 props are available for every fight, and we’re banking on Andre Fili to tear through Cub Swanson on the prelim card.
We also feature Ian Garry, Anthony Smith, and the main event between Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka, so we have props across many UFC weight classes.
UFC 303
Day:
Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
Streaming: ESPN
Big Blow Coming for Fili
We love the fighting style of Fili, who leaves nothing out of the Octagon.
The 34-year-old faces 40-year-old Swanson, and we don’t like betting on older fighters to win in the UFC.
At 23-11, Fili knows how to put people away, like he showed when knocking out Lucas Almeida at UFC 296. The downside is that he can get knocked out, as his 11 losses reflect.
However, we can’t see Swanson providing too much of an impact, and Fili could score a first round knockout.
“I just love to fight,” Fili said. “I’ve loved to fight since I was a kid; I love fighting, I love fist fighting. I love getting in fights and I love martial arts because they’re not separate, but it’s sort of two sides of the same coin.”
The American is a -238 chance to win the fight, which is worth including in UFC parlays, but he pays even better odds to win by knockout.
- Fili is a +190 chance to end the fight early, and that’s one of the better UFC 303 props for the PPV card.
Andre Fili was a big fan of Robert Pattinson in ‘The Batman’ #UFC303
🎤🎥: @DoubleGonTV pic.twitter.com/IakXandQZu
— Cageside Press (@Cagesidepress) June 27, 2024
Garry vs Page Won’t Go the Distance
Most of the money on the UFC card this weekend has come for the over 2.5 rounds in the Garry vs Page fight.
However, we’re going against the public perception that this fight will go the distance.
Garry and Page are dynamic fighters, and they’ll be looking to put on a show in front of a sold out crowd in Las Vegas.
Garry went the distance against Geoff Neal at UFC 298, but Neal is much harder to get out of the Octagon. Neal is one of the more professional fighters in the division, so it’s not a slight on Garry’s ability to end fights early.
- They are fighters who want to put on a show, so we can’t see this fight being a boring one. Therefore, take the +165 odds for under 2.5 rounds, and it could end with Garry knocking out Page in dramatic fashion.
The Warrior Comes Out in Smith
Smith is being underrated with UFC odds at +110, and we’re backing him to win via decision at even better odds.
- The 35-year-old has 38 wins on his record, and getting +375 to win the fight by decision is too good to pass up.
Roman Dolidze comes in on short notice, so we’re surprised to see him listed as the favorite with UFC 303 props.
He might be a dangerous fighter, but Smith loves winning on the big stage, and his heart can’t be overlooked.
Smith was also called up late to fight Carlos Ulberg, who later pulled out, so both Smith and Dolidze are fighting without a full camp.
“I’ve always been mentally willing,” Smith said of taking the short notice assignment. “If I can fight, it’s not that big of a deal to me. Everyone else makes this seem like it’s rocket science. It’s not. You just go in and you fight and the chips fall where they fall.”
- Getting +375 is juicy for a fighter who doesn’t know how to give up. We’re picking Smith to edge Dolidze on the judges’ scorecards.
Pereira to Power Through Prochazka
Alex Pereira is a beast, and he’s an excellent bet to beat Prochazka at UFC 303 on Saturday.
- The Brazilian is only 10-2, but the 36-year-old has demolished his light heavyweight opponents since arriving in the division, and he might not stop there.
He comes off a first round knockout win over Jamahal Hill, and although Hill wasn’t at his best, it was still a tremendous victory.
Pereira also defeated Prochazka with a second round KO in 2023, and we think Pereira has only improved since then.
We can’t see Prochazka standing in his way, and Pereira is one of our best UFC 303 props for the PPV card.
There is talk about Pereira wanting to move to heavyweight, and that’s mostly because there’s no one in the light heavyweight division who can stop him.
That’s a good sign for Saturday’s fight.
For UFC betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
